NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e89812895febe654723f76ac8478a348465ca7d51f3de09bba6d69415837a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $703,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 51c | 71,520$36,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,261.14 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 50,659$25,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,208.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Magic | 52c | 48,000$24,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,039.93 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 45,302$22,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,584.56 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 34,687$16,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,701.19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Magic | 51c | 25,419$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,418.81 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Cavaliers | 49c | 22,771$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Magic | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Magic | 59c | 13,516$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.69 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 42c | 12,212$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…dd31backed Magic | 50c | 10,220$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Magic | 50c | 9,426$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.2 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…1b85backed Magic | 49c | 9,300$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…ff87backed Cavaliers | 51c | 9,114$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,862$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…3870backed Magic | 52c | 8,801$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…0b99backed Magic | 52c | 8,746$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…4b82backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,652$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…653dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,583$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…aac0backed Magic | 52c | 8,559$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…da8fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,382$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,326$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.74 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…4100backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,314$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2435…b621backed Magic | 52c | 8,250$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…340cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,188$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…6d60backed Magic | 52c | 8,182$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,034$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…4408backed Magic | 52c | 8,021$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…34c3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 7,954$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…aef4backed Magic | 52c | 7,913$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 44c | 7,620$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,995$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.45 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…a0efbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,969$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 50c | 6,840$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.96 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…d031backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,720$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a9…7d7cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,619$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…3a0fbacked Magic | 52c | 6,209$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Magic | 58c | 6,126$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.85 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…7f03backed Magic | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…caa8backed Magic | 52c | 5,732$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…29f6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,708$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…1666backed Magic | 49c | 5,634$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…de56backed Magic | 52c | 5,599$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…410fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 5,543$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…83e1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,512$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…3a53backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,492$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…24b7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,449$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a77…0d7abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 5,283$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…626dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 5,195$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,994$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.09 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a306backed Magic | 52c | 4,868$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…957dbacked Magic | 52c | 4,555$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…6ef9backed Magic | 52c | 4,405$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…4c14backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,362$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1801…1952backed Magic | 52c | 4,204$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,073$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…c404backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,010$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a51dbacked Magic | 52c | 3,999$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…5e43backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,845$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…99a3backed Magic | 52c | 3,845$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 50c | 3,824$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.79 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…b92bbacked Magic | 52c | 3,701$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…99d1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,574$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…4172backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,503$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d6…d352backed Magic | 52c | 3,301$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,283$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…9591backed Magic | 52c | 3,258$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3071…8c71backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,233$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…8400backed Magic | 52c | 3,108$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,093$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…6a22backed Magic | 52c | 2,954$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…127abacked Magic | 49c | 2,938$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…c0f5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,724$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…32c1backed Magic | 52c | 2,715$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 51c | 2,606$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.75 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…ca34backed Magic | 52c | 2,545$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,520$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Magic | 49c | 2,341$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.89 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 61c | 2,311$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9344…3507backed Magic | 52c | 2,289$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,286$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,137$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,130$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,120$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.97 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…92fdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,087$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.29 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,817$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,723$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.59 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Magic | 50c | 1,704$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,699$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.51 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Magic won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Goga Bitadze: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.