NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7ff272c45e56636c104dfb747a93fd7e2d3659147d1b5d5f6edc1ec0594eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 817 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda6…ca21backed Under | 47c | 61,971$29,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,126.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under | 47c | 41,000$19,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,270 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…bf31backed Over | 53c | 22,838$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…e3ddbacked Under | 47c | 20,968$9,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…05eabacked Under | 47c | 19,517$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…96fbbacked Under | 47c | 19,238$9,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,041.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…b610backed Under | 47c | 19,132$8,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,992.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…dcf4backed Under | 47c | 17,755$8,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…24e0backed Over | 53c | 17,102$9,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,037.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…af53backed Under | 47c | 17,030$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…1973backed Over | 53c | 16,457$8,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…6507backed Over | 53c | 16,130$8,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…3e6bbacked Over | 53c | 15,868$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…9d87backed Over | 53c | 15,270$8,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…7e1ebacked Over | 53c | 15,051$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 14,284$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.79 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 53c | 14,263$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.82 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…2b5cbacked Under | 47c | 11,424$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 11,157$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.57 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.13 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…58eebacked Under | 47c | 9,901$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 47c | 8,776$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.59 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 50c | 8,528$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.46 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…3df7backed Over | 53c | 8,381$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…200abacked Under | 47c | 8,017$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…2555backed Over | 53c | 7,949$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…0ecabacked Under | 47c | 7,928$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 7,451$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…7671backed Over | 53c | 6,840$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…2463backed Under | 47c | 6,713$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Under | 48c | 5,496$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 5,067$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.92 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…640fbacked Over | 53c | 4,874$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 4,650$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…c534backed Over | 53c | 4,553$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 3,627$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.45 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,787$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.41 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 47c | 2,457$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.6 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…ef30backed Under | 47c | 2,421$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,415$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…ac27backed Under | 47c | 2,349$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,328$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…e1c8backed Under | 47c | 2,255$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…7274backed Over | 53c | 2,248$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…5b7cbacked Under | 47c | 2,241$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…f5c8backed Over | 53c | 2,238$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…75a8backed Under | 47c | 2,237$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…d05abacked Over | 53c | 2,230$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…ba8cbacked Over | 53c | 2,218$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…8f69backed Over | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…9fbbbacked Over | 53c | 2,199$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…5ee9backed Over | 53c | 2,167$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…a16ebacked Under | 47c | 2,139$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…40babacked Under | 47c | 2,136$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 2,135$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…bd50backed Over | 53c | 2,114$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…007abacked Over | 53c | 2,112$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…d532backed Over | 53c | 2,091$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ece7backed Over | 53c | 2,071$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…e395backed Over | 53c | 2,058$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…1558backed Over | 53c | 2,041$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…e5ffbacked Over | 53c | 2,011$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,992$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fe1bbacked Over | 53c | 1,983$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…0d63backed Over | 53c | 1,927$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…f836backed Over | 53c | 1,924$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 18c | 1,580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.09 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,536$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…10d4backed Under | 47c | 1,521$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…c747backed Over | 53c | 1,505$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…a90abacked Under | 47c | 1,492$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…95b8backed Over | 53c | 1,471$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…0824backed Over | 53c | 1,470$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,469$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…1b97backed Under | 47c | 1,464$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…85c8backed Under | 47c | 1,461$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…1c33backed Under | 47c | 1,460$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…85b8backed Under | 47c | 1,459$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e49…25c5backed Under | 47c | 1,407$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…a3eebacked Over | 53c | 1,404$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…03e6backed Under | 47c | 1,397$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d37…4ff0backed Over | 53c | 1,391$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…3fb0backed Under | 47c | 1,388$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a4…c345backed Under | 47c | 1,384$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…e1a7backed Over | 53c | 1,378$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad57backed Under | 47c | 1,361$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…5e07backed Under | 47c | 1,345$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…872dbacked Under | 47c | 1,305$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6053backed Over | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0eb2backed Over | 53c | 1,294$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Magic won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Goga Bitadze: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.