TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca06…1394

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$195.25
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$88.51
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,515.43
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,300
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.88
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,439.99
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,051.25
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$162.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$77.49
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,849.97
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$69.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$44.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.9
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$71.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$75.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.