TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$458,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,201 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c90,231$46,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,920.0332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under47c16,457$7,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,680.8331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c14,377$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,447.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over51c13,461$6,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,865.073847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5447…1236backed Over50c10,001$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…4875backed Under50c10,000$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c9,698$4,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…8ea0backed Under48c9,479$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under48c6,581$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.2515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c6,437$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c6,180$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7c…9ee2backed Under50c6,081$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c5,948$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.9212151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…653bbacked Over50c5,942$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff7…476bbacked Under50c5,808$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c5,471$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a48…b241backed Under50c5,303$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x947a…bf9fbacked Under50c5,288$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadde…3a0abacked Over50c5,175$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e41…5ec4backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cda…0860backed Over50c4,857$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ede…8846backed Under49c4,788$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec5…597fbacked Over50c4,736$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…cb67backed Under49c4,588$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f1…c238backed Over51c4,488$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c0…7990backed Under49c4,369$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x856d…c817backed Over51c4,266$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb0…2f46backed Under50c4,238$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6941…ff14backed Over51c4,230$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…76bbbacked Under49c4,177$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6717349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Under48c4,149$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.363943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…8acbbacked Under49c4,125$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under49c4,104$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.0817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8730…f69dbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c0…0a63backed Over50c3,968$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663f…440bbacked Over51c3,877$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb898…474ebacked Over51c3,766$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1088…7341backed Under49c3,765$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e8…6dccbacked Under49c3,756$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…022cbacked Under49c3,720$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0349…70b9backed Over50c3,670$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…f8efbacked Over51c3,625$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce84…94f2backed Under50c3,610$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…b0c1backed Under49c3,536$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c34…b1b5backed Under49c3,522$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c3,415$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0699…3d9cbacked Under49c3,388$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af0…a593backed Over51c3,387$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,360$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0ad…52cfbacked Over51c3,345$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…a276backed Over51c3,339$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c3,313$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…610ebacked Over51c3,288$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc2…d06fbacked Under49c3,288$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…4cdcbacked Under50c3,286$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6433100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa094…1094backed Over51c3,205$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad6…7286backed Over51c3,200$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdb…9522backed Under49c3,155$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…21b6backed Over51c3,155$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1442…b542backed Over51c3,066$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2bc…b2e2backed Over51c2,977$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7288…0fd9backed Under49c2,916$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under48c2,914$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.431050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41aa…0741backed Over51c2,877$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec7…6c27backed Under49c2,806$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7506…4940backed Under49c2,737$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e194backed Under50c2,659$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under49c2,584$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.6711159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54f…e31abacked Over51c2,567$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc113…d4febacked Over50c2,533$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…09fabacked Over50c2,525$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930f…1ebebacked Under50c2,490$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba8…cf76backed Over50c2,482$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a19…1824backed Under50c2,473$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…b97dbacked Under50c2,466$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x905a…5719backed Over50c2,457$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd071…12a3backed Over50c2,455$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeece…4b9cbacked Under49c2,455$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007c…deb4backed Under49c2,440$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a4…1220backed Under50c2,428$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6e…be34backed Over50c2,424$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x612a…44c9backed Over50c2,419$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under48c2,418$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.6516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0b…7049backed Under50c2,416$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…c1aebacked Under50c2,416$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf3…3918backed Over50c2,415$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c81…be56backed Under50c2,414$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d4…6766backed Over50c2,411$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9c…19f0backed Under50c2,373$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…0ef7backed Over51c2,366$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Over3c2,362$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.368348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…ab5ebacked Over50c2,358$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9d…5bc8backed Over50c2,355$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c2,353$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…47cbbacked Under50c2,349$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceef…eacdbacked Over50c2,331$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a8…b406backed Under50c2,321$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.