NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805a0846eeac0749618a51e460d38a4af7ef85becaa650991ed101aa739dd111

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,912 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	25,000$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,500	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.96	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over	50c	17,800$8,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,900	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	16,242$8,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,002.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	14,207$7,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,123.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	48c	7,328$3,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,517.36	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	7,029$3,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,723.06	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over	49c	6,642$3,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,254.58	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under	51c	5,942$3,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,911.68	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.99	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x656f…76b9backed Over	49c	4,961$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Over	50c	4,751$2,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,375.51	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	4,080$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.86	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e52…5a65backed Under	51c	2,515$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf85…9728backed Under	53c	2,515$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd84d…f33bbacked Under	53c	2,466$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.02	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2612…fe77backed Over	47c	2,419$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a28…33d9backed Over	47c	2,334$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6192…35e8backed Over	49c	2,332$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bee…8a5abacked Under	51c	2,332$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x278a…0e83backed Over	47c	2,303$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c26…1853backed Under	51c	2,288$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac18…c4e8backed Under	53c	2,152$1,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.44	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05c…6088backed Under	53c	2,129$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e2…25d9backed Over	49c	2,121$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…4f29backed Over	47c	2,121$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x969e…fdb1backed Under	51c	2,036$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5248…187cbacked Over	49c	2,020$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09a…5674backed Over	49c	2,019$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa640…dc2dbacked Over	49c	2,016$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	51c	1,870$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.3	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0e…66d1backed Under	51c	1,833$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.17	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	1,729$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$883.18	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f8…ac89backed Over	49c	1,727$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under	51c	1,616$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.69	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under	52c	1,601$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.98	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	51c	1,300$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.24	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	51c	1,286$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.3	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	53c	1,246$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	54c	1,243$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.16	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21bc…eb8fbacked Under	51c	1,111$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	1,079$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.98	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over	49c	909$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.41	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under	49c	830$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.3	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	48c	750$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over	50c	717.28$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.64	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Under	53c	716.47$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.74	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	52c	645.21$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.51	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	49c	601.42$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.72	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	51c	470.59$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.59	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under	53c	375.47$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.47	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	49c	359$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.94	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	314.76$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.95	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	51c	310.02$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.97	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	182	33%60 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	51c	299$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.51	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	51c	289.19$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.7	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over	51c	230.9$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.76	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…178bbacked Over	47c	211$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d9…7b51backed Under	51c	211$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.39	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	50c	196.16$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.11	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	50c	179.63$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	175.49$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…cf5dbacked Under	51c	166$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.34	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d94…fc71backed Over	49c	155$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under	51c	151$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under	51c	151$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under	51c	151$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	187	44.4%83 W · 104 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	52c	150.15$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.08	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	51c	139.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.69	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	50c	133.95$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.98	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf165…1364backed Under	53c	122$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	21c	120.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.42	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over	50c	120.1$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.05	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb185…f488backed Under	53c	109$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef85…86afbacked Over	47c	104$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…602abacked Over	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Under	51c	101$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.29	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	232	46.1%107 W · 125 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Under	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over	49c	99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over	50c	88.72$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.36	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over	49c	85.71$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b54…fccebacked Under	48c	83$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	46c	79.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under	54c	74.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.28	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc141…2c71backed Over	49c	72.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under	50c	72.91$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.46	388	53.4%207 W · 181 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event