NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0954cc08de0ab8345bcf24f314d571e6a77d913ea9977ce2b4187983a70b450d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,675,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,675,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,000 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 64c | 580,083$369,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,564 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 59c | 561,048$331,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,770.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 40c | 418,369$167,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,347.59 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 40c | 333,992$134,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,584.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 40c | 307,548$123,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,019.37 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 45c | 252,801$114,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,296.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 40c | 205,000$82,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers | 60c | 204,220$123,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,937.7 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 42c | 152,917$64,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,225 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 73c | 136,259$99,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,449.57 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 41c | 120,000$49,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,200 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 46c | 104,481$48,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,373.49 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Lakers | 60c | 102,196$61,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,878.46 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 59c | 92,157$53,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,210.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 63c | 92,127$57,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,526.76 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Lakers | 60c | 83,333$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,333.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Magic | 40c | 72,886$29,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,144.14 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 40c | 72,045$28,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,571.61 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 60c | 68,604$41,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,112.85 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 40c | 63,856$25,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,713.21 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Lakers | 61c | 60,881$36,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,980.45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 43c | 58,780$25,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,048.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 59c | 54,613$32,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,571.29 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 60c | 53,117$31,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,246.7 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 51c | 52,982$27,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,853.76 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 56c | 51,564$29,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,446.47 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Lakers | 58c | 50,664$29,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,065.69 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Magic | 38c | 49,447$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 43c | 48,920$20,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,986.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 59c | 46,649$27,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,088.52 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 24c | 42,426$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,392.59 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 46c | 41,271$18,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,816.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Lakers | 59c | 37,461$22,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,359.02 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Lakers | 60c | 36,206$21,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,502.51 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 60c | 35,552$21,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,300.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 47c | 33,915$15,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,089.41 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Magic | 41c | 33,582$13,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,690.79 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 60c | 33,272$19,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,380.61 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 60c | 33,025$19,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,210 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Lakers | 28c | 32,129$8,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,269.81 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Magic | 42c | 32,031$13,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 34c | 31,143$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,515.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Lakers | 49c | 31,000$15,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,659.96 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 62c | 30,540$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.82 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Lakers | 54c | 30,000$16,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,822.28 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Lakers | 60c | 30,000$18,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,900 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Lakers | 60c | 29,853$17,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,941.07 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers | 60c | 29,117$17,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,546.73 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers | 55c | 27,417$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,416.58 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers | 22c | 26,915$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,076.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Magic | 49c | 25,884$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,705.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 20c | 25,555$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,444 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lakers | 57c | 25,216$14,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920.3 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 40c | 25,080$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.93 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 65c | 24,725$16,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic | 32c | 24,350$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.61 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lakers | 57c | 23,836$13,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,276.2 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lakers | 57c | 23,233$13,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.71 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lakers | 56c | 22,063$12,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,610.94 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 42c | 21,000$8,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,859.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 44c | 20,865$9,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,242.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Magic | 42c | 20,142$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Magic | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lakers | 50c | 19,845$10,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.08 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Lakers | 58c | 19,060$11,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 33c | 18,023$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.42 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lakers | 53c | 17,786$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,303.7 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lakers | 53c | 17,437$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.52 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Lakers | 58c | 17,347$10,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.71 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Lakers | 58c | 16,500$9,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.95 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Lakers | 55c | 16,311$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.27 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 39c | 16,234$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,328.1 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Lakers | 58c | 15,968$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 42c | 15,908$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Lakers | 57c | 15,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Magic | 40c | 15,000$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Magic | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.97 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 41c | 14,954$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Lakers | 43c | 14,509$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,205.86 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 41c | 14,397$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 37c | 14,312$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.17 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 43c | 14,284$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.12 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Magic | 41c | 14,262$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.25 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 40c | 13,983$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.23 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 49c | 13,959$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Magic | 40c | 12,980$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.98 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Lakers | 60c | 12,943$7,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.2 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…d827backed Lakers | 60c | 12,905$7,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 61c | 12,540$7,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.78 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Magic | 42c | 11,921$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Magic | 41c | 11,589$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.59 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Lakers | 59c | 11,500$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Magic | 41c | 11,500$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.97 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 41c | 11,471$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Magic | 39c | 11,257$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…2108backed Magic | 41c | 11,216$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Lakers | 59c | 10,909$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Lakers | 60c | 10,858$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.78 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.