NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726b477b3fc9625d995ad0263c2f6bc2bb07b35231a979870325acaddba5f1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,719 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 48c | 52,184$25,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,048.21 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Magic | 52c | 38,418$19,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,482.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 52c | 28,927$14,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,934.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 52c | 10,495$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.54 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 59c | 7,411$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.86 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 7,390$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers | 48c | 7,180$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.21 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…37fcbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,872$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 48c | 4,471$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…0157backed Magic | 51c | 4,456$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…e3cebacked Magic | 51c | 4,321$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…2761backed Magic | 52c | 4,275$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fb…1d1dbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,066$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…b9c2backed Lakers | 49c | 3,905$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…82fbbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,596$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 56c | 3,297$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 52c | 3,121$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 49c | 3,120$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Magic | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…9cfdbacked Magic | 52c | 2,987$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,700$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Lakers | 49c | 2,654$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0ae7backed Magic | 52c | 2,520$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…1096backed Magic | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…e31abacked Lakers | 48c | 2,424$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…4b9cbacked Magic | 52c | 2,421$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…0ef7backed Lakers | 48c | 2,421$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…d48cbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,388$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…9fa6backed Magic | 52c | 2,369$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…156dbacked Magic | 52c | 2,366$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…0a8dbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,352$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…deb4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,344$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Lakers | 51c | 2,271$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.21 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…cdb4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,258$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…c0f7backed Lakers | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…e38dbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e20…f701backed Lakers | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e18…1067backed Lakers | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Magic | 54c | 2,223$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.62 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…8384backed Magic | 52c | 2,169$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72a…bc38backed Magic | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…99cbbacked Magic | 52c | 2,132$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…0796backed Magic | 52c | 2,123$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…11edbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…34a7backed Magic | 52c | 2,120$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…6c88backed Magic | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…e7b3backed Magic | 52c | 2,055$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…34babacked Magic | 52c | 2,039$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…5a73backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…114cbacked Magic | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…a923backed Lakers | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 50c | 1,956$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753c…b864backed Lakers | 48c | 1,947$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…09fcbacked Magic | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…ff81backed Magic | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…36eabacked Magic | 52c | 1,933$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…84c4backed Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,902$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.61 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9b15backed Magic | 52c | 1,899$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…707dbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…213fbacked Magic | 52c | 1,888$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…902dbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…3505backed Lakers | 48c | 1,854$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Lakers | 48c | 1,840$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.34 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…b095backed Magic | 52c | 1,820$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…15e4backed Lakers | 48c | 1,758$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca1…342fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,756$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b0…0604backed Lakers | 48c | 1,753$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…2da9backed Magic | 52c | 1,752$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…37cdbacked Magic | 52c | 1,752$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…b2e2backed Magic | 52c | 1,749$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b77abacked Lakers | 48c | 1,736$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…1645backed Lakers | 48c | 1,736$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…32afbacked Magic | 52c | 1,723$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Magic | 27c | 1,712$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.13 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 1,708$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…84cfbacked Magic | 52c | 1,688$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…f311backed Lakers | 48c | 1,662$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…7e8cbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,636$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…948dbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,632$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…2632backed Lakers | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…d53ebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,588$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…46e8backed Lakers | 48c | 1,566$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Lakers | 52c | 1,565$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 63c | 1,551$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Lakers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 52c | 1,366$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4a…05cbbacked Magic | 52c | 1,162$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Lakers | 48c | 1,120$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.73 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…307ebacked Magic | 52c | 1,062$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,002$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.27 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 48c | 940.53$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Lakers vs. MagicLakers won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.