NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12889f5594cbd7476107fbd7994707bec8d47cc1459184ef86b8db0fa11bf1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,333 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 47c | 122,806$57,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,087.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 53c | 90,000$47,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,700 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 51c | 33,142$16,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,295.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 49c | 31,486$15,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,337 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 29,683$15,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,306.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 54c | 23,031$12,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,392.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 46c | 20,792$9,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,227.92 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 45c | 20,418$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,221.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Magic | 51c | 19,552$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,552.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers | 54c | 11,808$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.35 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 51c | 11,112$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 51c | 10,354$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.72 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 52c | 9,231$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers | 53c | 9,149$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.87 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Lakers | 47c | 9,069$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.49 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 48c | 7,328$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.54 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers | 56c | 7,264$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.79 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 49c | 6,308$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.08 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,465$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.79 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 56c | 5,146$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.4 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Lakers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Lakers | 54c | 4,862$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 46c | 4,724$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 50c | 4,321$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.44 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Magic | 48c | 4,107$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.64 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers | 53c | 3,987$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.96 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 48c | 3,047$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.57 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 51c | 3,000$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,819$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.64 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 53c | 2,652$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 46c | 2,477$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.83 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 46c | 2,421$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 47c | 2,366$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Magic | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…af7dbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +156%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.95 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 47c | 1,992$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,911$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 51c | 1,735$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 47c | 1,546$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.61 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 48c | 1,534$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.66 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Lakers | 47c | 1,518$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,454$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lakers | 50c | 1,383$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.49 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 48c | 1,309$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lakers | 50c | 1,288$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.5 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,268$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Magic | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,192$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.82 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Magic | 49c | 1,130$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.81 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Magic | 47c | 959.57$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.57 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Lakers | 49c | 925.91$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Lakers | 53c | 876.88$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.75 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Magic | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 49c | 794.69$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 47c | 701.33$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Magic | 54c | 700.83$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Magic | 48c | 648$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Magic | 48c | 642.69$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 48c | 578.48$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Lakers | 52c | 572.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 46c | 531.36$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Lakers | 55c | 519.78$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Lakers | 52c | 510.85$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 46c | 480.01$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 448.02$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 62c | 389.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Lakers | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Lakers | 54c | 372.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Magic | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Lakers | 55c | 265.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Magic | 48c | 263.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Lakers | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Lakers | 61c | 259.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Magic | 48c | 255.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Lakers | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Lakers | 52c | 208.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Magic | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Magic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Magic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Lakers | 53c | 203.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Magic | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Lakers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Lakers | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Lakers | 53c | 199.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Lakers | 55c | 196.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 53c | 195.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Magic | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Lakers | 54c | 186.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Lakers vs. MagicLakers won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.