TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,188 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c6,100$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c5,924$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481d…eaffbacked Under48c2,426$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…c245backed Under48c2,175$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9c…c987backed Over52c2,156$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39c…22d6backed Under48c2,022$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…70c9backed Over52c1,801$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c1,781$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1774…5708backed Over52c1,756$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d98…1a71backed Over52c1,755$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,714$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c5…4569backed Under48c1,702$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa709…1f2fbacked Over52c1,702$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eff…64c2backed Under48c1,656$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under62c1,610$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.1160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c1,524$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654a…0d32backed Over52c1,455$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under46c1,372$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over57c1,164$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.4814847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c1,114$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over54c804$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.662,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…d730backed Over70c716.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over65c701.43$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.113835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c667.12$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1d…3633backed Under48c644$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over33c611.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under48c578.92$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1642153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c496.62$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c488.83$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24235849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c380.48$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under29c352$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over65c331$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.636355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c303.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c295.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c226.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over67c219.27$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under47c211.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6711156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c198.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.431,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under51c196.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c178.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c169.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over46c155.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.826845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under44c150.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.081,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over56c146.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.191,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f21…e36bbacked Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under48c117.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c114.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over16c101.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5363353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under43c93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.018740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c91.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.461,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…270fbacked Over44c90.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over57c86.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5240053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c85.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4623651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c83.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Under50c76.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.665836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under46c75.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.636550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…ad0cbacked Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over53c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over74c67.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-71.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c60.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over62c56.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.991,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over56c45.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2128536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under77c42.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over52c42.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.164269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over54c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c36.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.342,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3750…baa0backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2765542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over49c33.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c33.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.791,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Under62c33.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.675451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under38c32.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9357250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…a3b6backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under70c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3716867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5814858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9f…5734backed Over63c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c25.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Over51c25.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8714154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked Over52c24.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.