NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ea820b5bb4845c70517b9a3ffefe64674aee2e8ee7a9bb619fcb7f52e11cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,188 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 6,100$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 5,924$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…eaffbacked Under | 48c | 2,426$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…c245backed Under | 48c | 2,175$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…c987backed Over | 52c | 2,156$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…22d6backed Under | 48c | 2,022$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…70c9backed Over | 52c | 1,801$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 1,781$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1774…5708backed Over | 52c | 1,756$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1a71backed Over | 52c | 1,755$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,714$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…4569backed Under | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…1f2fbacked Over | 52c | 1,702$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eff…64c2backed Under | 48c | 1,656$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 62c | 1,610$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.11 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,524$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…0d32backed Over | 52c | 1,455$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Over | 57c | 1,164$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.48 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 1,114$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 804$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.66 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…d730backed Over | 70c | 716.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 65c | 701.43$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 667.12$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.65 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…3633backed Under | 48c | 644$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 33c | 611.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 578.92$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 496.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 488.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 380.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 29c | 352$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Over | 65c | 331$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 303.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 295.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 226.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 67c | 219.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 47c | 211.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 198.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 51c | 196.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 33c | 178.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 169.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 46c | 155.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 44c | 150.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 56c | 146.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 48c | 117.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 114.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 16c | 101.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 91.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked Over | 44c | 90.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Over | 57c | 86.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 85.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 83.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Under | 50c | 76.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Under | 46c | 75.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…ad0cbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…3ad3backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 74c | 67.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 60.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 62c | 56.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 56c | 45.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 77c | 42.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 52c | 42.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…baa0backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 49c | 33.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 33.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Under | 62c | 33.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 38c | 32.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…a3b6backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 70c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Over | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 53c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…635bbacked Over | 52c | 24.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Lakers vs. MagicLakers won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.