NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e7bf4372b2bb8af2a377a8a1897707875fb6be8e2fd623a33809c940c9999c

Rebuilt 17 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	51c	16,333$8,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,003.34	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	51c	10,975$5,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,377.75	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	9,494$4,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,659.38	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	9,248$4,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,561.33	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Over	50c	8,081$4,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,040.32	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	7,989$3,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,075.02	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	50c	5,433$2,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716.52	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	51c	5,159$2,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,629.78	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under	47c	4,179$1,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,229.72	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	51c	4,171$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.47	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	49c	4,074$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.05	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over	54c	2,171$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.6	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over	49c	1,959$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	51c	1,703$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.07	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	50c	750$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under	54c	704.35$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	53c	614.18$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.7	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	54c	511.46$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.81	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under	65c	384$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	49c	357.58$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.12	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under	52c	333.88$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.26	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over	49c	317$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.77	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	51c	285.35$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.82	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	243.65$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.33	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Over	72c	209.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over	51c	204.29$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.31	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	51c	190$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.1	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over	49c	171.61$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.29	205	54.6%112 W · 93 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	53c	154.41$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	51c	152.94$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.94	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under	51c	151$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over	49c	131.1$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over	35c	126.56$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.29	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Under	53c	118.87$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.87	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over	49c	110.76$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	49c	97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.53	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	48c	95.33$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.89	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under	50c	86.13$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.48	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under	50c	80.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.81	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	42c	79.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	49c	78.51$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	198	49%97 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c3…0920backed Under	53c	59.79$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.1	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	51c	52.35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.65	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	128	57.8%74 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	51c	43$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	50c	39.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	231	45.9%106 W · 125 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	54c	37.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Under	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9f…5734backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Over	57c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9b…6a02backed Over	52c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	42c	24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Under	51c	23.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.75	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event