TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f6…8cec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,850
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79,199.99
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,700
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,013.77
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,099.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,560.67
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,375.26
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,199.97
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20,122.56
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,756.46
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,783.58
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12,000
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19,935Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$18,482.58
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15,500
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15,382.57
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54%+$50,747.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,300
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,165.41
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,113.6
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,349.98
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,700
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9,900
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,300
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$5,899.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,550.54
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,489.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14,951.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,026.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,551.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,369.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.