TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Jazz, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$791,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$904,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz1c92,278$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.911,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz7c90,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jazz7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9812639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz1c46,538$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.781,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jazz4c30,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz3c24,742$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Jazz7c15,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz6c14,110$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.621,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz6c10,828$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz8c9,684$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.7616421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c9,550$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz1c8,090$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz7c7,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c7,004$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.487211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Jazz6c5,842$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.496126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Jazz7c5,372$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.022842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Jazz8c5,267$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.43324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz5c5,153$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Jazz7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz8c4,441$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.241,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Jazz8c4,252$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1311235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Jazz7c3,511$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.786950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz2c3,427$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz3c3,402$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.651,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jazz6c3,357$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.424841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz2c3,101$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz4c3,010$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz6c2,777$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.631,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Jazz6c2,477$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3420536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz5c2,405$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b6…ceb1backed Jazz8c2,223$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7a…c97fbacked Jazz8c2,127$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz2c2,002$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jazz6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz9c1,929$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Jazz8c1,890$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479a…e8b7backed Jazz8c1,789$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz1c1,571$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd820…3d50backed Jazz7c1,506$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Jazz7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Jazz6c1,353$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.212239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Jazz8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4829635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4817944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184c…be31backed Jazz8c973.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.851050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Jazz9c963.4$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6430157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d0…03afbacked Jazz5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.155940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Jazz5c927.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.436949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Jazz8c909.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7525452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e7…10c0backed Jazz5c887.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3911929.4%35 W · 84 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz6c677.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8842335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Jazz2c676.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.477128.2%20 W · 51 L-13.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Jazz10c672.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.013531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz2c640$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Jazz2c630.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9711033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz10c629.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.391,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Jazz8c614.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.139545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Jazz10c599.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023145.9%106 W · 125 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Jazz8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Jazz8c566.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3526530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Jazz5c565.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.292638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Jazz7c559.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Jazz5c531.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Jazz5c531.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Jazz5c531.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Jazz5c531.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Jazz8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Jazz7c499.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9955316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Jazz6c471.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3112329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e8…4a73backed Jazz8c453.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.282218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Jazz7c449.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Jazz8c449.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Jazz5c432.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Jazz5c431.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz8c354.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jazz8c353.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz6c344$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…7c38backed Jazz8c342.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Jazz8c321.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.564347.7%307 W · 336 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Jazz7c313$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9169929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Jazz4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jazz8c299.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4973131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Jazz8c295.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6214144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Jazz8c291.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.325044%22 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Jazz10c289.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9312250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f7…2593backed Jazz11c284.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Jazz7c269.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8820650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Jazz7c269.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…3bf6backed Jazz8c263.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Jazz10c257.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7834641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed Jazz9c241.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.745050%25 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Jazz5c240.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.016639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Jazz8c236.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9160%0 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Jazz6c235.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Jazz8c229.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0731644.9%142 W · 174 L+1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Jazz6c187.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jazz8c141.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3443321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ef…ba02backed Jazz13c136.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.