NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeedfb87645fc13d28b291b5f239600f59dc3da3ef2a8ebdc22bc2202a1fe7d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,267$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 53c | 4,927$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.69 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 2,859$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.77 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 2,021$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,075$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 662.12$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 360.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 359$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 55c | 304.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 299.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 50c | 288.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 265.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 199.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 54c | 159.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 141.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 96.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 96.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…278fbacked Over | 54c | 94.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Over | 54c | 87.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 81.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 75.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 72.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 68.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 68.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 51.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 55c | 51.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…e972backed Under | 47c | 42.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…1f04backed Under | 47c | 42.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 50c | 42.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 40.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…5e67backed Over | 55c | 34.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…5eefbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 67c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5this page
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.