TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Jazz48c100,766$47,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,991.64957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jazz48c59,975$28,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,588.0712639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Rockets53c55,021$29,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,867.6311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets52c38,462$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,461.531,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Rockets53c27,504$14,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,926.774847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Rockets52c18,242$9,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,756.2519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets52c8,417$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz47c7,998$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.171,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Rockets52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz49c6,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets52c5,810$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz47c4,779$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz47c4,376$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets52c4,088$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rockets53c3,838$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Rockets51c3,780$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.6320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets53c3,338$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.921,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets52c3,015$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets53c3,004$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.8190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz47c2,969$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.6572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz48c2,924$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Rockets51c2,480$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.0546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets52c2,141$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets51c2,035$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rockets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz50c1,843$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Rockets52c1,613$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets53c1,532$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Jazz49c984.53$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Rockets55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8515753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz48c883.55$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Rockets48c826.88$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Jazz51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2414450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Jazz45c750$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34079650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz45c705.96$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Rockets52c429.31$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Jazz49c417.63$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Rockets54c410.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.422060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Rockets54c405.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.269345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rockets52c370.13$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Rockets53c368.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.277751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Rockets53c367.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Rockets53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.364654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rockets53c365.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets53c352.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Rockets54c350.85$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6211145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Jazz46c326.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz47c322.93$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Rockets52c319.94$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Jazz46c315.93$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.136639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Rockets55c314.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.73141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Jazz47c300$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14248152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Rockets52c291.35$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.851,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Rockets53c285.58$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz48c284.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.792,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz48c283$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Rockets57c227.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.920536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz51c217.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Rockets54c214.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2422148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4661957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Jazz46c191.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0520040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Rockets53c188.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Rockets52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1217944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Rockets55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Rockets55c164.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets63c156.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.71,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Jazz48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Jazz49c148.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets61c144.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jazz47c143.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Rockets53c139.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7729352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e8…f672backed Rockets54c132.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Rockets53c128.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.415269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets47c124.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Rockets52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.620240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jazz34c112.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Jazz45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Rockets53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7116053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a04…6cb7backed Rockets54c108.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Rockets49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Rockets53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.097047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Rockets53c90.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.086346%29 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz44c81.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Jazz49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Jazz46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Jazz44c79.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2b…2086backed Jazz46c78.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Jazz46c71.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.92748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5333…8926backed Rockets59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Jazz45c65.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2924841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Rockets48c64.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.599854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Rockets52c63.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.273669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Rockets55c61.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.862857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Rockets54c61.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.583756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Rockets54c59.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.589057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Rockets48c59.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0216651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.