NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c8bc525f047e6cbaa63cbf9827a314b16753d8564490e810472c64c45c6ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Jazz | 48c | 100,766$47,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,991.6 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Jazz | 48c | 59,975$28,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,588.07 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Rockets | 53c | 55,021$29,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,867.63 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,461.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Rockets | 53c | 27,504$14,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,926.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Rockets | 52c | 18,242$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.25 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 52c | 8,417$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 47c | 7,998$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.17 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rockets | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 49c | 6,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,810$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 47c | 4,779$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 47c | 4,376$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 52c | 4,088$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 53c | 3,838$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Rockets | 51c | 3,780$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.63 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 53c | 3,338$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 52c | 3,015$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.58 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets | 53c | 3,004$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.81 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Jazz | 47c | 2,969$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.65 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 48c | 2,924$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Rockets | 51c | 2,480$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.05 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 52c | 2,141$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,035$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Jazz | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Rockets | 52c | 1,613$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.35 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,532$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Jazz | 49c | 984.53$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Rockets | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz | 48c | 883.55$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.1 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Rockets | 48c | 826.88$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Jazz | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Jazz | 45c | 750$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 45c | 705.96$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Rockets | 52c | 429.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Jazz | 49c | 417.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Rockets | 54c | 410.15$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Rockets | 54c | 405.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rockets | 52c | 370.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Rockets | 53c | 368.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Rockets | 53c | 367.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Rockets | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Rockets | 53c | 365.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets | 53c | 352.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Rockets | 54c | 350.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Jazz | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz | 47c | 322.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Rockets | 52c | 319.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Jazz | 46c | 315.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Rockets | 55c | 314.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Jazz | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rockets | 52c | 291.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Rockets | 53c | 285.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 48c | 284.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz | 48c | 283$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rockets | 57c | 227.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz | 51c | 217.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Rockets | 54c | 214.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Jazz | 46c | 191.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Rockets | 53c | 188.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Rockets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Rockets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Rockets | 55c | 164.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets | 63c | 156.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Jazz | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Jazz | 49c | 148.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets | 61c | 144.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jazz | 47c | 143.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Rockets | 53c | 139.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e8…f672backed Rockets | 54c | 132.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Rockets | 53c | 128.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 47c | 124.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Rockets | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jazz | 34c | 112.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Jazz | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Rockets | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Rockets | 54c | 108.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Jazz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Rockets | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Rockets | 53c | 90.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 44c | 81.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Jazz | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Jazz | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Jazz | 44c | 79.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…2086backed Jazz | 46c | 78.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Jazz | 46c | 71.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…8926backed Rockets | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Jazz | 45c | 65.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Rockets | 48c | 64.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Rockets | 52c | 63.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Rockets | 55c | 61.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Rockets | 54c | 61.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Jazz | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Rockets | 54c | 59.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Rockets | 48c | 59.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)this page
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.