NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca53e5ff41b0fa692d9871769623cbd213164be00bd4b80aae8d9928b4a67ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 3,662$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.48 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 2,704$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,033$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 935.41$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 715.88$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 50c | 552.78$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.79 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 491.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.23 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 47c | 487$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 56c | 478.11$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 415.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 41c | 400.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 327.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Under | 21c | 313.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 277.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 54c | 249.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 27c | 225.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 46c | 222.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 53c | 219.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 170.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 166.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 28c | 159.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 60c | 155.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 152.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 150.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 146$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 23c | 133.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 131.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 64c | 103.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Over | 44c | 88.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 59c | 82.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 81.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 27c | 71.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Under | 27c | 70.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 63.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 77c | 49.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 48.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 48.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 43.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 45c | 42.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 44c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 41.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 56c | 34.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 34.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…7e86backed Over | 48c | 31.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Over | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Over | 67c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Under | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…eaa0backed Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Under | 49c | 25.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Under | 46c | 22.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Over | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 51c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 63c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5this page
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.