TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1150…abe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.07
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.73
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$17.62
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.47
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.71
Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.56
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.16
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$29.02
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$96.43
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$53.92
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.16
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$24.37
Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$52.71
Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.1
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.63
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$154
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.69
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$111.26
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$62.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$46.41
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$45.22
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.98
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$93.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$63.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.25
Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5)backed Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$11.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.