NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697f1ef87eed8504028273664aa34d57b02774f07c9185abae0ed99eef732153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 6,402$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.13 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 4,404$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 3,225$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.87 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 2,904$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 2,803$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 47c | 2,077$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,796$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 1,319$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Under | 80c | 1,241$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 1,188$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.88 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 52c | 991.05$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.71 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 16c | 975.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 966.34$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 51c | 883.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 839.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 50c | 799.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 50c | 776.18$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.09 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 740.46$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 692.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 633.71$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 621.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 38c | 599.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 597.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 58c | 564.08$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.93 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 31c | 529.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…9df5backed Over | 47c | 496.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 46c | 492.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 54c | 456.06$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 454.84$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 52c | 447.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 420.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 408.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Under | 55c | 394.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Under | 50c | 359.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 342.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 46c | 325.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 323.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 308.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 47c | 306.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 46c | 302.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 273.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 46c | 266.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 46c | 264.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 254.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 248.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 46c | 247.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 234.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 46c | 221.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 47c | 209.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 209.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 199.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 199.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Under | 54c | 197.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 47c | 189.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 46c | 167.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 163.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Under | 63c | 157.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 60c | 156.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 47c | 153.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 150.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 147.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 46c | 147.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 55c | 138.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Under | 60c | 135.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 59c | 133.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 78c | 126.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 126.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 54c | 125.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 46c | 124.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 53c | 121.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 49c | 117.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 55c | 116.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 51c | 115.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 115.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 46c | 113.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Over | 46c | 113.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed Under | 61c | 110.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 109.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 46c | 108.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 70c | 107.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…00c0backed Over | 49c | 107.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 47c | 104.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Under | 66c | 104.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 47c | 102.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 47c | 102.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 46c | 93.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -12.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 54c | 90.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 53c | 83.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 83.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 59c | 83.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. JazzCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.