TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c6,402$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.131,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c4,404$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c3,225$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.871,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c2,904$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c2,803$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Over47c2,077$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.196237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,796$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over45c1,319$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Under80c1,241$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under55c1,188$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.882,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under48c1,026$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5560444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under52c991.05$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7113959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over16c975.38$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over47c966.34$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.186547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under51c883.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.727236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c839.3$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over50c799.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under50c776.18$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0910556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under63c740.46$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.621,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c692.01$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c633.71$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c621.96$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.863,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over38c599.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9216139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c597.89$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.243,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under58c564.08$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9310945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over31c529.18$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5fb…9df5backed Over47c496.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over46c492.55$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.579845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under54c456.06$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7923550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c454.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under52c447.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5841742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over46c420.25$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c408.01$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.411,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under55c394.06$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3314046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d45…30b6backed Under50c359.49$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c342.8$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over46c325.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c323.19$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c308.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over47c306.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9916845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over46c302.18$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c273.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over46c266.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.811050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over46c264.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.923850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c254.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c248.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over46c247.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7413148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under52c234.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.61,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over46c221.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9611453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over47c209.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6113352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c209.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c199.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.581,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over47c199.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under54c197.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9116651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over47c189.37$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over46c167.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8414445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c163.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Under63c157.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.656950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under60c156.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5824038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over47c153.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3216450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c150.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under55c147.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c147.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9728852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under55c138.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Under60c135.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under59c133.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2646346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under78c126.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.914156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over45c126.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under54c125.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over46c124.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1420247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under53c121.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9110753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over49c117.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4434247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under55c116.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.398657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under51c115.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7814444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under59c115.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.771,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over46c113.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1115650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over46c113.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.115160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under61c110.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.124955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c109.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over46c108.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under70c107.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d69…00c0backed Over49c107.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over47c104.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.247248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under66c104.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.586861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over47c102.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.334641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over47c102.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.235147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over49c100.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2538152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354540%18 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aef…da41backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over46c93.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.676825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under54c90.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.275651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under53c83.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.413052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c83.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under59c83.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.