TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,182,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,275,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,182,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz8c42,905$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Jazz8c34,552$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.7110225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jazz8c28,114$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.149018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Jazz9c22,113$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.1715850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz7c21,013$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz0c16,183$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.375213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz9c14,379$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Jazz8c11,718$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz6c11,033$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.5336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c10,521$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz16c10,009$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.432,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Jazz8c9,985$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.8417028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz8c9,922$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.721,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz11c9,900$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Jazz27c9,721$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.278532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Jazz21c9,668$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.6111335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz8c8,849$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.941832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz4c7,932$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.231,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c7,822$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.328820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Jazz6c7,716$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.731417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz9c7,604$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.231,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz7c7,499$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Jazz0c7,389$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.953179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Jazz6c7,000$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Jazz10c6,672$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Jazz6c6,018$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.045036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Jazz10c5,991$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz5c5,889$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.561,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e98…3a8abacked Jazz9c5,856$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.342416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Jazz10c5,738$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.7311342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz7c5,649$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4447748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Jazz8c5,306$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.521735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Jazz30c5,006$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.588225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers76c5,000$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9938434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz1c4,998$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Jazz9c4,984$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5613534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Cavaliers76c4,673$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2317051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Jazz11c4,620$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3110630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe160…f332backed Jazz11c4,617$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Jazz8c4,570$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.643324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa176…de22backed Jazz8c4,478$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.231020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Jazz7c4,437$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.68496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz10c4,230$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz8c4,027$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz8c3,958$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4416421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Jazz9c3,860$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1824323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Jazz11c3,744$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.328643%37 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Jazz9c3,586$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.746841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz9c3,583$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d1…4c30backed Jazz8c3,111$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c8…ff84backed Jazz5c2,997$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.863125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz9c2,985$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9647043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Jazz10c2,586$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1253539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Jazz10c2,539$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Jazz7c2,441$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.454533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jazz14c2,385$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6524937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz12c2,378$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Cavaliers72c2,355$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Jazz4c1,996$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.858923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Jazz11c1,988$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7113245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Jazz7c1,967$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.692015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Jazz6c1,921$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7214243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Jazz8c1,899$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9120644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Jazz9c1,893$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3818043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Jazz8c1,867$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3430845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Jazz26c1,829$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Jazz9c1,812$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0823747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Jazz10c1,768$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Jazz10c1,681$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.095244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Jazz6c1,661$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.66185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Jazz8c1,577$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.391942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz7c1,535$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz7c1,512$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.841,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jazz9c1,497$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.911,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Jazz6c1,495$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.216434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c1,493$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.667211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Jazz7c1,436$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6111738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz14c1,405$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz8c1,400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.454838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Jazz15c1,330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3218632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0e…7f5dbacked Jazz17c1,326$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Jazz9c1,324$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2119728.4%56 W · 141 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Cavaliers77c1,284$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8814143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Jazz6c1,284$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7916139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Jazz9c1,265$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.912938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz8c1,255$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Jazz8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9318343.7%80 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Jazz8c1,244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5634136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz8c1,230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz8c1,229$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Jazz9c1,202$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.175928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4684…3944backed Jazz7c1,174$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.881717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8c…23c3backed Cavaliers75c1,142$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x220b…edd5backed Jazz25c1,129$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Jazz9c1,128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5220245%91 W · 111 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Jazz8c1,095$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6122160.2%133 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Jazz23c1,066$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.073627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c5…7fecbacked Cavaliers77c1,029$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.381266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz7c1,027$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.