TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2c5…7fec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.97
Miyazaki: Tung-Lin Wu vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$111.14
San Luis Potosi: Alex Hernandez vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$276.93
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$274.46
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.64
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Addedbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,881.64
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Caroline Wernerbacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$701.15
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$200.82
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$244.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$44.83
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30%+$237.38
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$156.86
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,106.93
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,491.51
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$212.66
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$238.96
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.06
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 12 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.