TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilagan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James McCabeof James McCabe, Andre Ilagan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,526 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Andre Ilagan21c13,768$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.442,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Andre Ilagan37c8,169$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.631,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed James McCabe80c6,382$5,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Andre Ilagan38c4,620$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76520336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed James McCabe62c3,596$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.2127252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed James McCabe73c2,980$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.279855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked James McCabe63c2,696$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.414459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed James McCabe63c1,960$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.183959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked James McCabe62c1,754$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andre Ilagan28c1,737$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.196,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked James McCabe63c1,592$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.5255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed James McCabe68c1,464$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.213,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed James McCabe79c1,288$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.221782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked James McCabe71c1,247$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Andre Ilagan42c1,188$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked James McCabe79c1,090$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Andre Ilagan27c1,051$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked James McCabe69c1,033$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.574245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed James McCabe63c1,033$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9315862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Andre Ilagan39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Andre Ilagan1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Andre Ilagan1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Andre Ilagan1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-42.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Andre Ilagan38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed James McCabe63c999.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.983868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2c5…7fecbacked James McCabe79c956.27$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.821457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed James McCabe64c906.63$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6330847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed James McCabe56c897.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6737854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed James McCabe78c837.5$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.54548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Andre Ilagan1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed James McCabe69c722.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3622465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed James McCabe62c594.77$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.341,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Andre Ilagan37c551.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.591,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Andre Ilagan37c535.14$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andre Ilagan31c527.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.542,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked James McCabe67c510.81$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.816336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked James McCabe62c483.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed James McCabe68c481$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked James McCabe64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7535344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed James McCabe74c421.53$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.533357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked James McCabe62c406.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed James McCabe75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed James McCabe71c394.75$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked James McCabe76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7437071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5990…aed6backed James McCabe78c366.01$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…68f8backed James McCabe79c364.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Andre Ilagan37c349.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13086835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Andre Ilagan38c342$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.147,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed James McCabe80c326.35$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6546453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b9…fb1cbacked James McCabe62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed James McCabe64c322.55$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1268350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Andre Ilagan37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Andre Ilagan36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andre Ilagan36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked James McCabe76c299.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725966.1%39 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked James McCabe68c299$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Andre Ilagan39c293.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0823735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed James McCabe68c286.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.834,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed James McCabe67c286.64$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5915742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked James McCabe73c279.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2814752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Andre Ilagan37c278.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.876344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Andre Ilagan31c277.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.971,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed Andre Ilagan37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Andre Ilagan28c269.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9813748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Andre Ilagan17c261.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.111,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked James McCabe62c258.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…a71cbacked James McCabe80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Andre Ilagan22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Andre Ilagan37c243.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed James McCabe70c242.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.887357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Andre Ilagan33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked James McCabe54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7447252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed James McCabe65c227.4$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.492,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed James McCabe75c227.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.241,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed James McCabe80c219.72$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.721,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andre Ilagan42c219.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed James McCabe69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623050%15 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked James McCabe62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked James McCabe76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813051.5%67 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked James McCabe78c191.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.110655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9334…df9ebacked Andre Ilagan26c190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44520%9 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked James McCabe67c181.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2255660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed James McCabe63c177.13$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5410570.5%74 W · 31 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Andre Ilagan29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed James McCabe62c167.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6320552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed James McCabe60c166.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.261,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked James McCabe61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9315560.6%94 W · 61 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed James McCabe62c162.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5862534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked James McCabe62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed James McCabe62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2923965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed James McCabe62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andre Ilagan33c159.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.766,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andre Ilagan36c155.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.082,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Andre Ilagan39c154$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed James McCabe75c149.51$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed James McCabe71c147.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed James McCabe62c146.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…768abacked James McCabe62c145.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.164259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed James McCabe69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9317262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed James McCabe71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.