TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc668…4f06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12050%60 W · 60 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$44.5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$56.83
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$5.37
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$10.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$17.81
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+91%+$88.72
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34%+$13.39
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$83.29
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT11361.9%70 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$8.68
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$19.06
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30%+$9.01
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$7.73
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$8.33
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$10.42
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53%+$13.24
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51%+$12.75
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.15
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$6.37
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$13.88
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Leopoldo: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Conner Huertas Del Pino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$304.91
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sao Leopoldo: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.76
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Grand Prix Hassan II: Jesper de Jong vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.06
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$10.44
Barletta: Daniil Glinka vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Andres Martinbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$10.22
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+62%+$11.15
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Tom Gentzschbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicakbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$12.25
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Remy Bertolabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$267.77
Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$72.87
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.03
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30%+$595.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.58
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.73
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.85
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,228.3%+$6,697.81
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$28.03
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$2,087.75
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$86.16
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$12.38
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$20.37
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.18
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.19
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+301.6%+$77.93
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,468Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.5%+$1,091.94
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$35.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.34
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.