MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29cbfa2161a4dfcf4090f26cff11d007068c7390a45ea2601ecd39f8ca22fa94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb59…1d47backed New York Mets | 37c | 69,123$25,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,785.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 49,860$19,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,614.93 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 28,291$10,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,087.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 27,958$18,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,423.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 21,289$16,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.94 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 20,726$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,411.26 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 64c | 19,998$12,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,897.11 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 18,372$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,765.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 63c | 15,638$9,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,851.99 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 63c | 15,555$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.65 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 12,573$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,450.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 12,380$9,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 12,162$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.19 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 43c | 11,011$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.88 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 10,465$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 6,551$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.65 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…107bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 6,243$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 49c | 6,122$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked New York Mets | 65c | 5,720$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 69c | 5,654$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.45 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 63c | 4,372$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.51 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 65c | 4,116$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 38c | 3,756$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 3,714$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 3,633$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.55 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 57c | 3,478$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 3,351$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.26 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.33 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,267$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.88 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed New York Mets | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed New York Mets | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked New York Mets | 32c | 2,967$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.46 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 35c | 2,779$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 2,512$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.04 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,443$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,355$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 2,122$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.05 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,009$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.77 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,928$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,753$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.02 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,694$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,415$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets | 33c | 1,388$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,354$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.05 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,273$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,194$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,158$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 65c | 1,156$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,057$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.22 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed New York Mets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 880$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 846.98$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked New York Mets | 64c | 824$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 822$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed New York Mets | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 31c | 714.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.29 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed New York Mets | 28c | 678.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 38c | 664.78$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked New York Mets | 20c | 656.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 77c | 603$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets | 41c | 586.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Mets | 16c | 530$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked New York Mets | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked New York Mets | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked New York Mets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked New York Mets | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed New York Mets | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 59c | 478.15$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed New York Mets | 39c | 444.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 417.81$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 401.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 368$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 355.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 347.3$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 299.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 294.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed New York Mets | 41c | 275.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 274.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed New York Mets | 61c | 271.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7edabacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 270$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 257.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.