TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb267…d710

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+187.7%+$24.14
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+327.9%+$40.33
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Zizou Bergsbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+317.4%+$43.09
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.33
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$67.2
La Bisbal: Antonia Ruzic vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.85
Cagliari: Mattia Bellucci vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$11.42
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+241.8%+$32.53
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$10.24
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.95
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.18
Saint-Malo: Bianca Andreescu vs Yue Yuanbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$42.09
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.17
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$4.46
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$4.01
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$8.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.93
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$11.15
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.17
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$80.59
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$6.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$11.18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$25.49
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$49.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$23.22
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$17.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+146%+$21.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+368.3%+$43.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$22.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.