Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fcb1ecf666096e163985a97191b66aa89f64072e4cee4c3c41a9f0aa94fad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 43,988$25,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,651.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 33c | 15,160$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.79 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 35c | 8,568$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 69c | 8,211$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 5,901$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.58 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Over | 23c | 3,632$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +291.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 3,362$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.3 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 55c | 3,100$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 2,716$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Over | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 43c | 2,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…6d89backed Over | 43c | 1,753$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 73c | 1,712$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b69fbacked Over | 60c | 1,614$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 31c | 1,556$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 25c | 1,415$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Over | 42c | 1,167$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 28c | 1,088$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Over | 72c | 1,013$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Over | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 27c | 919.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.42 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 52c | 853$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 758.14$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 68c | 755.29$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 686$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 621.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 28c | 619.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.27 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 610.16$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 26c | 599.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 68c | 566.71$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 72c | 551.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 27c | 549.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 28c | 473.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.94 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 28c | 448.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.59 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 28c | 448.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.59 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 57c | 412.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 363.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.69 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 39c | 354.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 60c | 336.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 322.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 65c | 306.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Over | 25c | 304$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 61c | 279.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 278$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 273.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Over | 73c | 273.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 245.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 31c | 242.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…daa0backed Over | 28c | 204.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 194$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 74c | 189.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 181.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 25c | 171.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Over | 73c | 170.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 73c | 168.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 31c | 165.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 156.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 72c | 155.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 31c | 153.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 150.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 141.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 28c | 141.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 77c | 140.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 26c | 139.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.