Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe632edea2d581904cd1dec547b78be723f4674a076b8b8a32845ede810cf0a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 24,839$12,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,120 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 51c | 21,790$11,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,677.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 48c | 20,623$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 19,611$10,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,825.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 12,231$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 9,400$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 6,387$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.77 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 54c | 5,108$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 53c | 3,698$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.97 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 52c | 3,693$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Over | 18c | 3,638$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 47c | 3,549$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 3,047$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.02 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…9857backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 52c | 2,590$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.41 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 54c | 2,165$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 28c | 2,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 55c | 1,811$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 47c | 1,760$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…5dedbacked Under | 52c | 1,611$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 48c | 1,567$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 1,426$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 51c | 1,331$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.95 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 19c | 1,072$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 64c | 926.56$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Over | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Over | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 799.83$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 798.04$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 784.57$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 778.55$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…f896backed Over | 47c | 712.77$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 54c | 654.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 633.26$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 544$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 54c | 455.28$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…7d52backed Under | 54c | 412.63$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 35c | 409.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 42c | 354$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Under | 54c | 348.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 53c | 346.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…5a35backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 287.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 39c | 249.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 236.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 52c | 229.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…e0cdbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 47c | 210.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +68%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 196.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…745cbacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 60c | 144$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Under | 53c | 141.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.