TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c31,019$17,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,133.943,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes55c17,707$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c10,691$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,905.852,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes56c10,158$5,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6601241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes19c7,888$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.723135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c7,134$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No47c6,894$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No44c5,268$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.21650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.886858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes51c3,000$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.985653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Yes39c2,585$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes53c2,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes54c1,745$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes54c1,713$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes56c1,605$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No44c1,596$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No45c1,490$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.643458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes55c1,382$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c1,380$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No46c1,268$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.928254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No46c1,268$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9211443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes55c1,211$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6662040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c1,154$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.8656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6165534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c1,045$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.8511246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c1,036$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.691,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…0caabacked Yes54c1,031$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Yes55c1,020$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5604100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes54c999.83$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes55c920$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No45c899.95$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes53c758.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes54c726.51$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No46c665.82$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.542934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No46c626.22$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.161861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No53c481.18$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c473$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.151,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes55c472.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c446.84$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.825947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes55c436.36$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a5…f896backed Yes55c407.27$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes54c399.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+68.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd97…b6edbacked No63c350$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes43c343.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c318.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes55c309.09$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Yes55c268.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes44c261.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed No44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No46c239$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.066136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c200.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7933522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked No45c199.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No65c190.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.37417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Yes54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed No46c184.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes55c183.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad99…52d5backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes54c177.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes55c172.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c160.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.561,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No45c158.02$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.915635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c152.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.971,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.172937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb323…b49ebacked Yes55c150.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes18c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes55c149.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes54c147.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes55c141.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.