TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd97…b6ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+50.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.47
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$67.56
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$57.53
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.96
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$134.29
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$33.35
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$24.84
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$18.87
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$608.86
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.78
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.84
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$220.61
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$54.09
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandarsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$13.03
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$40.79
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$81.12
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38%+$38.04
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$124.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$129.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$202.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$328.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.