TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,815,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,815,983 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes39c3,643,090$1,405,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405,195.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No61c1,371,168$839,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,367.029748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No61c364,315$223,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,582.682065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No61c245,000$149,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,55010948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No63c200,000$126,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,00010450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No62c150,000$93,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,429.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No61c138,066$84,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,466.3750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No61c135,150$82,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,178.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c98,876$57,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,239.1690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Yes38c96,109$36,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,521.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No61c90,007$54,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,102.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No61c85,000$51,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,1508940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No62c84,638$52,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,446.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No62c79,750$49,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,302.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c68,377$43,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,363.71,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No62c68,325$42,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,963.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No61c57,525$35,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,207.8520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No61c55,000$33,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,2505964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c52,997$31,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,809.034,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c52,005$32,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,836.122,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No61c47,394$28,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,483.665950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No61c40,500$24,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,795.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c37,500$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,50024245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No63c36,490$22,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,644.35831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes36c29,451$10,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,601.9915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes69c26,755$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No62c25,965$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,965.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No62c24,194$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,193.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe88b…5250backed No62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No61c19,108$11,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.126839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No62c19,000$11,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3108041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No63c16,430$10,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,108.513444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No62c14,098$8,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,365.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No62c13,677$8,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c11,600$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,45064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No63c9,603$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes28c8,318$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.985726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked No64c7,812$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes37c7,565$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.589640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7305757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No64c6,619$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.2911839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No36c6,579$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.1930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes67c6,128$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1003748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes36c5,815$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.9526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.712650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No61c4,770$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.73438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c4,202$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.9150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes39c4,108$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes36c3,862$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.386048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c3,306$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.611,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72f…3465backed Yes36c3,305$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes36c3,200$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.7426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c2,868$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.7892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No63c2,700$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9991118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No62c2,650$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0071136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.084528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes37c2,524$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No34c2,438$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.665141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No62c2,433$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.758251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No62c2,400$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.5242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No61c2,369$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes39c2,197$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.836346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c2,176$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.891,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes35c2,156$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.184676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No61c2,103$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.144949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes59c2,059$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.712669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No62c2,038$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.732955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No63c2,034$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3606051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No62c1,969$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes20c1,949$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.493040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes42c1,794$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes65c1,692$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c1,620$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2411333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No62c1,619$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,487$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.331,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes55c1,460$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.433339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No62c1,455$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.954344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No62c1,400$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes30c1,345$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No63c1,200$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c1,173$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No61c1,173$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.284254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked No62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.03742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes55c1,120$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No63c1,080$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.65450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes2c1,069$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x430f…47b9backed Yes69c988.2$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes65c971.87$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.715150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Yes30c960$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed No41c850.94$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.944755.3%26 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c848$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No62c835.25$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.395563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes19c833$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.621233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.