La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490e922984f882d88da3b5d659f9aae85039c34e0dc6643196fe72fa9c4ce938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,986 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 31c | 122,426$37,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,727.75 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 69c | 101,712$70,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,530.81 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 68c | 85,105$57,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,254.42 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 28,544$9,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,070.55 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 68c | 11,000$7,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 10,687$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.08 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 9,958$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.85 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Yes | 32c | 9,906$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 8,123$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.45 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 32c | 5,876$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.22 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 5,787$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.86 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 9c | 3,544$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 31c | 3,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 2,955$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.63 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 26c | 2,062$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 1,997$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 1,953$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.66 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 32c | 1,820$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 1,660$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.92 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 1,520$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed No | 69c | 1,243$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…05a9backed Yes | 9c | 1,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 68c | 1,031$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.89 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 32c | 939$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 10c | 787.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 27c | 640$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 12c | 590.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 573.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 533$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 70c | 500.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 32c | 429$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 66c | 402.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…b926backed Yes | 34c | 358.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed No | 67c | 337.09$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…e382backed Yes | 34c | 314.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…99a1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 32c | 299.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 34c | 294.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…ab79backed Yes | 34c | 289.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 71c | 281.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 20c | 250.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…feccbacked Yes | 17c | 221.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed No | 69c | 212.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed Yes | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 201.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…5f1cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 16c | 183.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 171.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…c414backed Yes | 32c | 166.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…0597backed Yes | 13c | 149.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…78bfbacked Yes | 17c | 144.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 32c | 140.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 17c | 137.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 34c | 132.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…ffd8backed No | 67c | 131.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 32c | 128.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…fa27backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…7caabacked No | 67c | 121.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 33c | 121.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 31c | 118.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 116.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…7516backed No | 67c | 116.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 32c | 115.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 106.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…234bbacked No | 67c | 105.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…11afbacked No | 67c | 105.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…079bbacked Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…acaabacked Yes | 16c | 104.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce9…f9f1backed No | 67c | 100.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 26c | 100.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.