TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,481 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes37c27,504$10,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,199.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c26,478$12,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,985.3190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No38c6,843$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.2711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c6,349$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.084,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c4,947$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.4669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c2,686$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.4592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes31c2,156$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.672245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes75c2,014$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.661,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c1,862$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.271,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No28c1,845$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.791,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No70c1,689$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Yes50c1,197$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c1,129$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.6835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c972.68$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.541,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.7420843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes79c947.75$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes32c938.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.122540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c696.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c479.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.182,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked No12c452.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72f…3465backed Yes65c441.54$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x744f…4eacbacked Yes31c400.72$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes25c395.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.541936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c5…7c61backed Yes31c315.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.013046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No31c299.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664f…78f4backed Yes31c287.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No7c280$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a55…b5babacked Yes31c269.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No47c264.42$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.218550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.063844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No29c244.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6435145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes30c224$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.332025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes60c203.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+82.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c197$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.939634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a38…8d8fbacked Yes25c194.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c190.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes31c178.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.092250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No26c168.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.096442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2911037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c147.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes32c147.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No46c141.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.896536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a46…162dbacked No70c138.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbcc…de88backed No70c132.25$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…10c8backed No14c131.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed No11c131.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b36…8ea5backed No70c130.03$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…0c4fbacked No70c115.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf0…6a3bbacked No70c108.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes48c104.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5811547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a7…7635backed No70c104.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1710834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c103.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c101.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3714023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c99.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9910270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes31c96.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.884654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd0…f477backed No70c95.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…cafebacked No70c94.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa224…3e32backed No70c94.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes31c94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.869237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe46e…1567backed No70c93.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes54c93.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.793050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No35c91.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb04a…1a28backed No70c84.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2050…39b9backed No69c82.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2211…ed34backed No70c81.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed No77c81.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes31c80.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes24c80$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.811541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No69c72.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf07…9c4fbacked Yes31c72.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No26c67.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8541323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes69c67.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Yes57c66.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.676045%27 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes32c66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No69c65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.722548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x289b…714ebacked Yes31c61.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.522356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No36c61.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3215643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No18c58.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.653557.1%20 W · 15 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.