TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a6…5f1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$359.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$61.6
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+400%+$160
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+403.3%+$80.13
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33%+$173.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$194.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$341.5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$99.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.