Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1c2e962993bd552979ccca265a51e7d362f8906d00aef0dba0f91428e6c10b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $91,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	19,899$9,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,778.32	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd67d…31c0backed Over	50c	11,091$5,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,550.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	52c	9,999$5,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.52	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over	51c	7,710$3,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,778.05	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	49c	2,593$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.65	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	2,458$1,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.85	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Under	70c	2,416$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	51c	1,969$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.91	152	52%79 W · 73 L	-11.9wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Over	54c	1,746$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	47c	1,720$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.34	375	44%165 W · 210 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	41c	1,572$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.54	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Under	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f888backed Under	49c	1,214$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.24per pick	50cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	49c	1,067$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.63	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	47c	1,063$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.6	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Over	52c	802.61$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.61	61	70.5%43 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under	59c	769.16$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.04	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…106dbacked Over	49c	700$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.99	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	47c	641$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.05	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Over	52c	630$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.4	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	627$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.84	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Under	48c	519.15$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	220	54.1%119 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	193	44%85 W · 108 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	46c	444$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.24	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under	49c	387.76$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Over	55c	361.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.03	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over	50c	281.28$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.64	123	54.5%67 W · 56 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	21c	222$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.38	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under	49c	220$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.1	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	44c	173.2$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.21	176	58.5%103 W · 73 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	142.78$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	338	51.5%174 W · 164 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Under	49c	127$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.23	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	53c	121.41$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.06	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under	48c	119.97$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeaa…4577backed Under	48c	110.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under	53c	103.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under	49c	103$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.47	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	206	67.5%139 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52a6…5f1cbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	63cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	48c	88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	58c	82.13$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.77	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	44c	79.73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.73	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…ac01backed Under	44c	79.55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	51c	78.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.63	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Under	50c	72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	217	44.7%97 W · 120 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	57c	68.88$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.96	97	62.9%61 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	39c	63.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.63	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	49c	63.17$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	217	45.6%99 W · 118 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb9…d7ddbacked Under	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	49c	53.3$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Under	53c	50.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-7.5wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9540…55d6backed Under	43c	46.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0e19backed Over	53c	45.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235c…3c99backed Under	49c	42.55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Over	52c	42.44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.37	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	29c	41.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.38	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under	49c	40.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked Over	48c	30.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…00c6backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.26per pick	69cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ecc…2277backed Under	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Under	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…be4cbacked Over	52c	24.65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Under	48c	20.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	94	38.3%36 W · 58 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x377d…b135backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb967…3bfdbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0567…82d1backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	56%14 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5this page
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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