Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c88d2afb41d6a2e3042d274c80bca1f5c35e9c27896bacca59c6e91440ae9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 29c | 4,999$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,913$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.36 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 2,247$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 12c | 1,748$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 31c | 609.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 71c | 601.53$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 69c | 443.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 71c | 274.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 32c | 196.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…6ec5backed Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.