TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb967…3bfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3857.9%22 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.3%+$8.8
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$210.1
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.45
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$110.82
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$71.47
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$21.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$70.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$14.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+45.2%+$22.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.6%+$7.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.