NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfeca91c1645673214e4f229986ecb3a1f639a9f202cb92eef9ba73e74bc83d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Capitals, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Capitals | 48c | 130,749$62,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,390.63 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 30c | 125,000$37,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,124.92 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 72c | 111,770$80,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,731.32 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wild | 53c | 102,282$53,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,432.73 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 48c | 74,040$35,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,239.43 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Capitals | 49c | 61,736$30,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,085.98 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 52c | 56,360$29,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,306.39 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 48c | 33,305$15,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,986.61 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wild | 52c | 21,422$11,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.63 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wild | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.12 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 52c | 14,520$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.59 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 49c | 10,545$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.99 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Wild | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 51c | 9,789$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.71 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 52c | 7,663$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.16 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Wild | 52c | 6,386$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.06 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 52c | 6,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.94 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wild | 52c | 5,725$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wild | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Wild | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Wild | 52c | 4,840$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.2 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Wild | 67c | 4,511$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.07 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Capitals | 48c | 4,444$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.12 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 72c | 4,037$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.3 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Wild | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wild | 52c | 3,625$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.95 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild | 52c | 3,557$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.36 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 3,310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wild | 72c | 3,149$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.07 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Capitals | 48c | 3,146$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.22 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Wild | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Wild | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.91 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Capitals | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Capitals | 24c | 2,200$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 33c | 1,992$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.99 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wild | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wild | 53c | 1,886$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Wild | 53c | 1,540$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 52c | 1,530$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.58 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Wild | 67c | 1,527$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b15…889dbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…4e49backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…27a0backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…d40ebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…cd97backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…45f8backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…8378backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245a…e560backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a4…35dcbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…6506backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…7e3ebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…c846backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…59adbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…301dbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…a406backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…8f47backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…16d2backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…a8b0backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3142…7fcebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…ff3cbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…ab8cbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…0a79backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…c3c9backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…d641backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…56cdbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…4bedbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…10f1backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…09dabacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…712fbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…0beebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…d482backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…c009backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…b0c0backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…a8ebbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…041bbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…0f08backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…4947backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…9d75backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…fc14backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…9821backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…11c4backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…99dcbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…056ebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…8796backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…9c37backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9c11backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…a6a1backed Capitals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…6f33backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…ba5dbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…af29backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Wildthis page
- Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.