NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cdb2504f2b5c28598efa93e349169c122c51289ed64fcec816ebed49377076c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,642,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,731,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,642,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 52c | 765,993$398,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398,502.36 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Pelicans | 48c | 375,569$181,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,436.33 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pelicans | 47c | 200,000$95,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,999.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 52c | 199,999$103,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.48 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…9791backed Warriors | 53c | 188,679$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans | 47c | 179,998$84,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,398.78 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 47c | 142,706$66,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,779.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 48c | 123,777$58,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,968.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 52c | 109,615$57,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,384.14 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans | 47c | 107,951$50,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,213.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 47c | 104,074$49,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,644.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 53c | 100,295$52,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,835.13 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 51c | 92,362$46,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,980.65 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 68c | 89,642$61,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,366.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pelicans | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Warriors | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,399.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 47c | 75,556$35,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,776.56 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 53c | 56,000$29,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,680 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 51c | 53,208$26,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,274.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 52c | 51,398$26,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,726.78 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.95 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 48c | 46,997$22,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,538.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 48c | 42,176$20,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,086.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Warriors | 49c | 39,315$19,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,189.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…61b9backed Warriors | 53c | 38,873$20,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,602.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 47c | 37,447$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,846.66 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 25c | 33,515$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,416.61 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 61c | 33,403$20,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,150.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 47c | 29,841$13,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,848.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pelicans | 60c | 26,144$15,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.72 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pelicans | 47c | 22,307$10,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,821.16 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Pelicans | 48c | 20,433$9,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,623.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pelicans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans | 47c | 19,676$9,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,428.21 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 18,779$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.97 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 70c | 17,825$12,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Warriors | 29c | 17,581$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.62 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Warriors | 56c | 16,682$9,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,343.97 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…e90fbacked Warriors | 57c | 16,099$9,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,139.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pelicans | 48c | 15,625$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans | 45c | 15,384$6,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 53c | 15,094$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Pelicans | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 14,710$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,796.17 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 54c | 14,404$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,778.15 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 54c | 14,000$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Pelicans | 70c | 13,317$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Warriors | 35c | 12,719$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans | 47c | 12,500$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.95 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Warriors | 53c | 12,300$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Warriors | 51c | 11,954$6,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 47c | 11,788$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.79 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 11,395$6,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.69 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pelicans | 49c | 11,326$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.3 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans | 47c | 11,211$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pelicans | 48c | 10,094$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.66 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 53c | 10,000$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 66c | 9,848$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans | 47c | 8,775$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.86 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 58c | 8,738$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 53c | 8,602$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.07 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Warriors | 47c | 8,579$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 63c | 8,049$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans | 41c | 7,987$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.32 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 52c | 7,771$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.13 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans | 42c | 7,635$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.06 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans | 47c | 7,581$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.45 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 52c | 7,514$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Warriors | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 54c | 7,194$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 4c | 7,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 6,718$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Warriors | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Pelicans | 46c | 6,261$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.9 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans | 45c | 6,219$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.81 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans | 41c | 6,195$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.16 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…9c47backed Warriors | 49c | 6,060$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans | 66c | 5,730$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.95 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 55c | 5,699$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Warriors | 50c | 5,623$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.57 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 43c | 5,418$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.45 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 35c | 5,338$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.51 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans | 59c | 5,082$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.8 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Warriors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Pelicans | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Warriors | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Warriors | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.95 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pelicansthis page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.