NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1ff1f75e1b8f5cd475298826d390f813810872ed2b27eab6e61834376b8e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 46c | 75,317$34,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,670.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 54c | 32,966$17,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,164.13 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 53c | 28,387$15,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,341.87 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Pelicans | 53c | 14,929$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.43 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 54c | 11,545$6,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 47c | 11,247$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pelicans | 54c | 10,617$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans | 55c | 9,491$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.91 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Warriors | 46c | 9,130$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…4022backed Warriors | 46c | 6,852$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…e228backed Pelicans | 54c | 5,741$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Warriors | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.66 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 54c | 4,142$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.11 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,484$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…6076backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,157$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,011$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.08 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3377…81babacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,843$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,681$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b43…d8b6backed Warriors | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…0f1ebacked Warriors | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,828$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.8 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.39 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Warriors | 47c | 1,643$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.25 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,574$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.46 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,175$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.07 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,170$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 46c | 1,082$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Pelicans | 53c | 985.85$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.35 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…fb88backed Pelicans | 54c | 852.16$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 46c | 831.89$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 46c | 760$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…80e8backed Warriors | 46c | 711.74$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 52c | 672.13$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 37c | 589.13$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Warriors | 48c | 568.75$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans | 54c | 555.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Pelicans | 52c | 520.39$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pelicans | 54c | 474.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.07 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Warriors | 48c | 419.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Warriors | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 409.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 56c | 408.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pelicans | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 53c | 366.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pelicans | 53c | 365$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 46c | 264$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Warriors | 46c | 262.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 53c | 184$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pelicans | 55c | 179.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Pelicans | 80c | 168$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 46c | 161.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Warriors | 48c | 150.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Warriors | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Pelicans | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 44c | 136.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pelicans | 56c | 136.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pelicans | 53c | 125.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Pelicans | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans | 52c | 116.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Warriors | 46c | 112.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 46c | 80.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pelicans | 54c | 78.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors | 48c | 76.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…96ecbacked Pelicans | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 19c | 73.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 27c | 68.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Warriors | 46c | 63.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…5eb1backed Warriors | 47c | 63.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Warriors | 47c | 63.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Warriors | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Warriors | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Pelicans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 47c | 51.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Warriors | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 47.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Pelicans | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Warriors | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Warriors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 31c | 40.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…8a5ebacked Warriors | 47c | 34.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 54c | 34.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…75dabacked Warriors | 48c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Warriors vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.