NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee1ee5b80086f49dafa0682405555f7190bc19a3cdf9663c783f7113cd3d2e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $759,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $759,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 381,989$194,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,814.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 49c | 188,736$92,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,702.65 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 49c | 140,317$68,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,561.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 51c | 115,031$58,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,365.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…9791backed Warriors | 51c | 49,159$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Warriors | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 37,344$18,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,893.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 26,818$13,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,417.23 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 51c | 19,169$9,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,381.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 16,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pelicans | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,452$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans | 51c | 8,392$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.18 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 7,420$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans | 51c | 7,233$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.33 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pelicans | 50c | 6,419$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.21 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,383$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.59 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,999$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,677$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,425$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.38 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Warriors | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,364$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,173$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.36 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,037$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,907$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,496$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Warriors | 43c | 1,245$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.43 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,135$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,133$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed Warriors | 51c | 997.29$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Warriors | 51c | 981.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Pelicans | 50c | 981.31$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pelicans | 51c | 943.76$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.44 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pelicans | 50c | 875.58$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.28 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Warriors | 50c | 757.26$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Warriors | 50c | 756.33$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 575.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 555.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Warriors | 50c | 403.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…b42bbacked Warriors | 51c | 391.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Pelicans | 51c | 350.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 49c | 327.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 47c | 327.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 50c | 294.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Warriors | 50c | 285.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Pelicans | 49c | 239.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Pelicans | 51c | 227.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 49c | 225.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed Warriors | 51c | 195.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Pelicans | 48c | 188.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Pelicans | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 50c | 158.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pelicans | 51c | 144.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Pelicans | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…054cbacked Warriors | 51c | 139.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Pelicans | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Pelicans | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors | 50c | 120.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Warriors | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 51c | 106.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans | 51c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Warriors | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Warriors | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Warriors | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 74.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Pelicans | 50c | 74.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 41c | 65.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Warriors vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.