NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb41d1fa4bbc0b4f23e5b2b5a40a3777944cf151857f4090a360cc6286f9fe926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,748$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 51c | 8,224$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 48c | 8,129$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…ae96backed Under | 45c | 5,811$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d6…d415backed Over | 55c | 4,646$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…dbedbacked Under | 45c | 4,242$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 3,905$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…587dbacked Under | 45c | 3,813$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…b157backed Over | 55c | 3,362$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…88dfbacked Over | 55c | 3,303$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…d627backed Over | 55c | 3,066$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,109$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.47 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 49c | 2,026$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.29 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 56c | 1,980$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.8 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…598fbacked Over | 55c | 1,716$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…000bbacked Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 55c | 1,090$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,046$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 870$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Under | 48c | 804$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…9be0backed Under | 45c | 511$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 425.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 423.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 6c | 339.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 49c | 337$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Over | 48c | 328.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 263.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 191.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 166.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 52c | 147.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 53c | 130.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 122.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Over | 55c | 110.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 97.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 87.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 74.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 20c | 74.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 56.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 54.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Over | 49c | 51.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 50.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 50.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Over | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 45c | 35.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…6e8bbacked Over | 54c | 34.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 55c | 34.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 40c | 34.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 42c | 34.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 58c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 51c | 26.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 48c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 49c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…766dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Warriors vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.