TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23e0…ee84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Rhode Island Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.53
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.83
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.88
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+295.1%+$64.49
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+172.9%+$33.49
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+79.9%+$9.82
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+60.1%+$15.03
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Syracuse Orangebacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.3
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.62
Spread: Denver Pioneers (-6.5)backed Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.64
Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+113.6%+$28.41
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$23.58
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
South Florida Bulls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$85.08
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+106.9%+$16.04
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.95
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.36
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.1%+$15.77
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+197.1%+$22.19
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.92
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Francisco Comesana vs Pedro Martinezbacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.