NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ae056fc3dd4721cc6448f253f10d81fceb8d55b2497c3a9f4b8c4dde5a8382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 43,609$20,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,676.8 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 37,197$18,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,120.42 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 52c | 19,401$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Pacers | 51c | 19,348$9,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,867.48 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 51c | 17,722$9,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pacers | 51c | 15,364$7,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,835.82 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 49c | 15,037$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.34 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 14,644$6,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.1 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Pacers | 52c | 13,688$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pacers | 49c | 9,495$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.72 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Mavericks | 50c | 8,616$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Mavericks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pacers | 51c | 7,462$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Pacers | 51c | 5,843$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 48c | 5,716$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Pacers | 52c | 4,288$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 53c | 4,122$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,308$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,092$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,654$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.84 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 51c | 2,600$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 49c | 2,357$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 51c | 2,339$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 51c | 2,045$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.95 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,687$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 52c | 1,641$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.95 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,267$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Pacers | 53c | 1,198$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,172$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.44 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 53c | 1,164$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.92 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 919$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Mavericks | 50c | 721.52$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Mavericks | 49c | 397.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Mavericks | 47c | 366.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 50c | 330.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 48c | 318.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 50c | 317.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 51c | 228.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Pacers | 53c | 226.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 59c | 201.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Pacers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pacers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 42c | 170.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Mavericks | 49c | 151.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Mavericks | 50c | 148.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 51c | 124.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 51c | 96.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 90.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Mavericks | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pacers | 46c | 84.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Pacers | 49c | 82.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 51c | 76.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Mavericks | 49c | 71.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Mavericks | 65c | 68.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pacers | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Mavericks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Mavericks | 48c | 50.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Mavericks | 53c | 50.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pacers | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Mavericks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Mavericks | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Pacers | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Pacers | 52c | 39.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 47c | 39.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dd…cea3backed Mavericks | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Pacers | 42c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Pacers | 51c | 36.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers | 50c | 35.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 31.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Mavericks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Mavericks | 49c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 28.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Pacers | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Mavericks | 49c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Pacers | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Pacers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…8106backed Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PacersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 253.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 262.5Over won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.