NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabf727aafcd7f5babef67a0585df4f370a981a9d5eaaf67f6c06f9955e9c71d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 56c | 26,387$14,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,737.34 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 13,045$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 56c | 11,077$6,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.42 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 44c | 9,450$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 4,743$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.66 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 4,178$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 43c | 3,099$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,334$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 44c | 2,130$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 2,098$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 40c | 1,739$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.46 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 56c | 1,238$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.89 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.7 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 1,181$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 1,114$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 43c | 769$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 731.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 8c | 673.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 41c | 434$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 431.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 60c | 426.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 398.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 282.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 266.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 7c | 265.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 237.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 212.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 62c | 183.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 57c | 144.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 60c | 82.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 78.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 57c | 73.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 50c | 68.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 65.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 42c | 62.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 59.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Over | 58c | 53.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…9f1ebacked Under | 44c | 47.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 46.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…81a9backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Under | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 40c | 34.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Over | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…58b8backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…39acbacked Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Over | 56c | 18.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. PacersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 253.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 262.5Over won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.