TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,838,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,048,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,838,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,053 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks53c401,538$211,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190,073.8643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks53c354,562$187,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,189.8632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pacers47c155,000$73,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,522.7222453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers45c149,040$67,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,086.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pacers48c125,000$59,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,56259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks52c108,293$56,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,980.5387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Pacers48c106,150$50,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,6522548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers47c105,302$49,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,3611,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers0c72,743$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Pacers48c70,800$33,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,9845534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Mavericks51c68,188$34,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,412.0717250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pacers47c57,000$26,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,789.9911653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers48c56,276$26,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,951.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers50c48,766$24,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,350.419053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers47c35,572$16,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,722.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Pacers48c34,125$16,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,379.9728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Pacers30c32,000$9,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,604.4813625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers51c31,697$16,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,165.4161851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers48c31,005$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,882.429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers47c30,437$14,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,237.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Mavericks49c30,015$14,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,307.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+71.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Pacers42c28,392$11,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,980.517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks53c28,000$14,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,059.945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers19c27,867$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,279.521,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c1…4ca7backed Mavericks52c26,271$13,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,610.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f0…66bfbacked Pacers48c25,999$12,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,479.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks52c25,000$12,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,049.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Mavericks52c25,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.888944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers40c23,444$9,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,319.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Pacers48c23,205$11,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,138.416039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers52c21,242$10,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,954.851,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers46c20,091$9,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,241.71,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Pacers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Mavericks54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.8916339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers48c19,400$9,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,31230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Pacers51c19,386$9,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8879743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pacers50c18,384$9,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,281.4128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f33…06b1backed Pacers44c17,672$7,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,717.973215.6%5 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers48c17,548$8,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,398.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pacers48c17,184$8,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,31717356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Mavericks50c15,718$7,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,858.9526842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers1c15,149$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.773179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Pacers49c15,000$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2806023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers48c14,474$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,939.1231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Pacers37c13,677$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,023.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks65c13,531$8,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Mavericks50c13,184$6,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,590.056841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks65c12,793$8,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,436.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers48c12,746$6,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117.8635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Mavericks50c12,175$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,087.57653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers27c12,113$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks55c12,086$6,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,411.4929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks62c11,829$7,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.2537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pacers49c10,155$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,97620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Pacers50c10,040$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.55650%28 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Pacers49c10,000$4,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8706445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ec…9893backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers30c10,000$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Pacers49c9,854$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.462832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Pacers37c9,500$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Pacers46c9,274$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Mavericks52c8,371$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.1520849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Mavericks65c8,057$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pacers37c7,979$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.1611737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Mavericks62c7,784$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.8422143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Pacers48c7,700$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6966848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Pacers38c7,561$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.384231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks72c7,342$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.571,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Pacers32c7,236$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.118530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Mavericks63c7,187$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.946165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Pacers49c7,134$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fac…c80bbacked Mavericks54c7,034$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x809d…f9ebbacked Pacers46c6,900$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Pacers48c6,580$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.46860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pacers48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac4…2b17backed Pacers45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.82250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Pacers49c5,890$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.66451.6%33 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7e…0a35backed Pacers38c5,155$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Pacers48c5,154$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.085251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers41c5,000$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.731,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Mavericks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks53c4,999$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks66c4,980$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.441,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks51c4,922$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.5665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Pacers47c4,777$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.1911436.8%42 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Pacers16c4,677$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.468036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks75c4,668$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.7838540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Mavericks53c4,614$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.0651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pacers45c4,553$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.4854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Mavericks54c4,500$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0703129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Pacers46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.92965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x752e…8840backed Mavericks71c4,169$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.811450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Mavericks79c4,155$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.9842827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mavericks61c4,150$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.6848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks72c4,101$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.1981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Pacers32c4,096$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.071040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.