TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabb8…6324

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$313.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+460.6%+$92.11
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New Orleans Privateers vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-9.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-6.5)backed Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.