Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb499b8b37fd2c97928747d98b2998f23a1b84d2f13fb6f7d3bb00fbed886359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.74 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 4,337$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Under | 46c | 2,636$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 1,745$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.39 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 51c | 1,036$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.63 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 700.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 683.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 319$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 7c | 303.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 219.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 217.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 196.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 182.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 119.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 62c | 87.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 60c | 68.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 37.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…d63bbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 24.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.