Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985aec6261c189c77b6c0d58e0e98fbd3ec16ba304d6cec3558c87824f8a9f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stoke City FCof Fulham FC, Stoke City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stoke City FC | 69c | 1,713$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Fulham FC | 34c | 1,030$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stoke City FC | 66c | 619.19$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Fulham FC | 31c | 503.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Fulham FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Fulham FC | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Stoke City FC | 66c | 204.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Fulham FC | 33c | 144.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Fulham FC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Fulham FC | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Fulham FC | 32c | 62.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Fulham FC | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Fulham FC | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fulham FC | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Stoke City FC | 66c | 32.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Stoke City FC | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stoke City FC | 66c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Stoke City FC | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.