Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0bdb5db29d5f9cd20ab012ef468c32b5983732fcbd1a29e3ea1d78bf30dab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 3,067$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 74c | 2,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 1,157$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 610.36$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 495$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 25c | 200.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 101.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 74c | 94.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 87.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 63.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 32c | 32.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 79c | 30.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 78c | 22.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.