TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf94b…94a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.36
Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+55.3%+$55.31
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.8%+$58.82
Will Sander Eitrem (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Davide Ghiotto (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.74
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+168.1%+$67.24
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54.9%+$164.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.4%+$85.97
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.5%+$137.54
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$140
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$142.08
Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+177.1%+$53.13
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53%+$74.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.7%+$92.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.