Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e94206da611edd2ee737abd2c5b8cc944b41f6b1d7051f1c220fb97a9e8bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Over | 80c | 5,301$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 4,814$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 3,085$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 2,211$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 1,644$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 15c | 1,088$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 67c | 650$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 80c | 477$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 457.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 425.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 74c | 419.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 329.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Over | 67c | 325$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 26c | 170.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Over | 79c | 159.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 77c | 133.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…87e8backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 122.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 92.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 90.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 70c | 82.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 69c | 79.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 77.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Under | 20c | 76.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…2fc3backed Over | 68c | 68.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 68c | 66.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 58c | 47.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…5371backed Over | 80c | 23.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…7d0bbacked Over | 72c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…e2d8backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.