TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe7d…e2d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$160.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$56.1
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$107.11
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.71
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.48
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.77
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Cbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.1%+$10.01
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+65.4%+$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44%+$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.